Polymarket predicts that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October rises to 81%
2025-09-28 15:00:02
According to the latest data from Polymarket, as of today, the probability of a "25 basis point cut" in the contract related to "whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in October 2025" has risen to a record high of 81%. In comparison, the probability of a "50 basis point cut" is 4%, the probability of "unchanged" is 16%, and the "rate hike" option is less than 1%.
Disclaimer:
1. The information provided does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions and bear all risks themselves.
2. The copyright of this content belongs to the original author. The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not represent the stance or position of this website.
Previous article：
Polymarket上预测10月美联储降息25个基点概率升至81%Next article：
Kalshi上预测“今年美国政府关门”的概率降至63%
