Before the FOMC statement, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 and 50 basis points at this meeting was 93.7% and 6.3% respectively.
2025-09-17 17:54:00
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged tonight is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 93.7%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 6.3%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points in October is 25.6%, the probability of a total of 50 basis points is 69.8%, and the probability of a total of 75 basis points is 4.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points in December is 1.7%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 28.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 65.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 4.3%.
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法兴银行美国利率策略主管拉贾帕：美联储将不得不前置降息
