The Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision: 25 basis points of interest rate cuts are almost a foregone conclusion, three major points of interest or detonate the market
2025-09-17 15:32:06
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 2:00 am Beijing time on Thursday, and the market is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time since December last year. Key points to watch include: one is the voting result or the current "three-way split", with some officials supporting a larger rate cut of 50 basis points and some opposing it; the second is that the updated dot plot and economic forecasts will reveal the differences between officials on inflation, employment and the future path of interest rate cuts; and the third is whether Powell's conference can ease the market's concerns about the Fed's political influence. The market has now priced that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in October and December.
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