After the CPI was released, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose to 10.9%.
2025-09-11 12:56:38
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 89.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 10.9%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 4.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in total is 84.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 11.3%. (Before the CPI was released, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September was 92%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points was 8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points in October is 21.2%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 72.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 6.2%.)
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