Less than ten days before the Federal Reserve's September interest rate meeting, current market traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September with a high probability, and the probability of rate cuts in October will increase simultaneously.
According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in September is 0, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 90%. This probability is reported in Polymarket 87%.
In addition, traders are starting to bet on a rate cut in October. According to CME data, if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in September, the probability of another 25 basis points cut in October is 71.6%, a significant increase from 48% last week.
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September with a high probability of a rate cut in October
2025-09-08 03:00:56
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