Before the ADP announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September was 97.6%.
2025-09-04 12:10:19
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 2.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 97.6%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is 1.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 46.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 52.1%.
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