Before Powell's speech, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September was 75.5%.
2025-08-22 14:02:18
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 24.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 75.5%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is 13%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 51.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 35.5%.
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鲍威尔讲话前 美联储9月降息的概率为75.5%Next article：
交易员预计9月美联储降息概率升至90%
