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According to data from prediction market Kalshi, after the release of the CPI report, the current probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 80%, while only 14% expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, and 6% predict that interest rate cuts will exceed 25 basis points.

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2025-08-12 13:00:58
According to the data of the prediction market Kalshi, after the release of the CPI report, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 80%, while only 14% expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, and 6% predict that interest rate cuts will exceed 25 basis points.
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