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Bank of America: The probability of a hard landing has fallen to its lowest level since January this year, and stock allocations are rising

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2025-08-11 07:22:59
Holding large US technology stocks was again the hottest trade as investors returned to equities on the back of upbeat earnings performance and improving global economic sentiment, according to Bank of America's monthly fund managers survey, which included 169 participants with $413 billion under management in August.
The likelihood of a hard landing has fallen to its lowest level since January 2025, and equity allocations are rising, but not yet at extreme levels. A net 78% of respondents expect short-term rates to fall over the next 12 months. A trade war remains the biggest tail risk for 29% of respondents, and 27% believe inflation is holding back Fed rate cuts.
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