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Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256), and Grok replied that it would be almost zero in the next 5 years.

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2025-08-03 07:32:21
On August 3, based on a quantum computer research progress article published by IBM, Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256).
Grok replied that according to NIST, IBM, and expert surveys for 2025, the probability of quantum computing cracking SHA-256 is "almost 0% in the next 5 years, and will be less than 10% by 2035". This requires millions of error-correcting qubits; while current systems support only about 1,000 noisy qubits at most. Bitcoin's hash value remains safe for now.
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