Before the FOMC statement, the Federal Reserve was almost certain to stay put this time, and the probability of a rate cut in September was close to 60%.
2025-07-30 17:58:15
According to CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged tonight is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 3.1%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 40.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 57.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.8%.
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摩根大通固定收益全球主管米歇尔：美联储很可能也会在9月继续按兵不动
