After the release of U.S. ADP and GDP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in September rose
2025-07-30 13:03:44
According to CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 97.9% (consistent with before the data release), and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.1%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 37.9% (34% before the data release). The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 60.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.3%.
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