美国ADP和GDP数据公布后 美联储9月维持利率不变的概率上升
2025-07-30 13:03:44
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为97.9%(与数据公布前一致),降息25个基点的概率为2.1%。美联储9月维持利率不变的概率为37.9%(数据公布前为34%),累计降息25个基点的概率为60.9%,累计降息50个基点的概率为1.3%。
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