Before the ADP data was released, the probability that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged in September was 34%.
2025-07-30 12:12:09
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 97.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.1%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 34.0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 64.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.4%.
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