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US CPI outlook: If the June CPI data is milder than expected, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in September

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2025-07-15 07:55:04
According to foreign media analysis reports, the June CPI report will significantly affect the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's next policy. At present, the market expects that the Federal Reserve is more likely to cut interest rates in October. If the data is higher than expected, even if it is much higher than expected, the Federal Reserve will wait until October to cut interest rates, but if the data is milder than expected, then the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged in July and cut interest rates in September. In short, in terms of monetary policy, the June CPI report will make it clear who is right, Trump or Powell. (Jin Ten)
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