非农公布前，美联储9月降息概率超90%
2025-07-03 12:30:52
据 CME「美联储观察」：美联储 7 月维持利率不变的概率为 76.7，降息 25 个基点的概率为 23.3%。美联储 9 月维持利率不变的概率为 4.9%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 73.3%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 21.8%。周三晚间公布的美国「小非农」数据意外录得负值，美国非农就业数据即将公布。
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