The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September exceeds 90%, and the market focuses on tonight's non-farm data
2025-07-02 22:05:45
On July 3rd, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 74.7%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 25.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in September is 7.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 69.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 22.8%. The US "small non-farm payroll" data released on Wednesday night unexpectedly recorded negative values, and the US non-farm payroll data will be released on Thursday night. < br > < img src = "https://flash-scdn.jin10.com/flash_dli/jin_fanti/img/765874cc-2d40-a07c-d289-1751493611496.jpg" referrerpolicy = "no-referrer" >
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