The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September exceeds 90%, and the market focuses on tonight's non-farm data
2025-07-02 22:33:55
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 74.7%, and the probability that it will cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 25.3%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 7.6%, the probability that it will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in total is 69.7%, and the probability that it will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in total is 22.8%. The US "small non-farm payroll" data released on Wednesday night unexpectedly recorded a negative value, and the US non-farm payrolls data will be released on Thursday night.
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