Chain analyst @arndxt_xo pointed out that Bitcoin is currently in a "non-correlated window period" similar to February 2025, with prices trading sideways in the 100-108K range. The price trend of BTC has not yet synchronized with macro liquidity, but historical data shows that the direction of change in the world's major central banks M2 money supply leads BTC in 80% of cases.
The year-on-year growth rate of M2 has turned from negative to positive. Superimposed on the Federal Reserve, many officials have hinted that interest rates will be cut in July at the earliest, and the FOMC dot plot also supports a rate cut this year. In terms of technical structure, BTC has confirmed a golden fork, and the weekly trend is still there; if it breaks through 108K, it is expected to rise to 133K. If liquidity continues to improve and ushers in a policy shift, Q4 may become a key window for BTC to act.
Market analysis: Global liquidity recovery and Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations strengthen, BTC may usher in a breakthrough in Q4
2025-06-23 09:09:39
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