According to Jin Ten Data, the CME "Federal Reserve Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 85.5%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 14.5%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 0%;
The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 32.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 58.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 8.9%;
The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged through December is 5.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 26.0%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 41.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 24.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 3.0%.
CME "Fed Watch": 14.5% chance of Fed rate cut in July
2025-06-17 10:40:59
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