According to the official website data, Polymarket forecasts that the probability of "Musk creating a new party within this year" is 16%, and the probability of "Musk creating a new party by the end of June" is 5%.
These probabilities are down 5% and 2% respectively from yesterday.
The probability of "Musk creating a new party this year" is tentatively reported at 16% on Polymarket.
2025-06-08 14:09:10
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Polymarket上预测“马斯克今年内创建新政党”的概率暂报16%
