On May 11, analyst 2Lambroz believes that the peak season for counterfeit products may have arrived, but he said that the market dynamics have changed. "People want to buy, but lack confidence in any strong narrative." He pointed out that unlike in 2021, there is currently no sign of retail investors entering the market. Traders have a faster rate of capital turnover and little incentive to hold long-term positions.
Technical trader Moustache takes a more optimistic view. He shares a chart showing counterfeit products repeatedly going through accumulation stages, followed by explosive growth. According to his analysis, the current structure is similar to that of 2016 and 2020. "The 2025 counterfeit products season has officially begun". However, skeptics remain. Commentator Rekt Fencer points out that most counterfeit products have fallen by 90% since December. This week's small rally of 10% sparked excessive optimism, prompting him to mock the rally. "This is the long-awaited golden age of counterfeit products." (Cointelegraph)
Analysis: counterfeit products season may have arrived, but this time is different
2025-05-11 07:43:56
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