Before the FOMC statement, the probability of the Federal Reserve staying put this time was 99%.
2025-03-19 17:51:37
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 1.0%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by May is 83.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 16.0%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 40.4%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 51.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 8.3%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 0.1%.
Disclaimer:
1. The information provided does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions and bear all risks themselves.
2. The copyright of this content belongs to the original author. The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not represent the stance or position of this website.
Previous article：
FOMC声明前 美联储本次按兵不动的概率为99%Next article：
嘉信理财首席固收策略师：通胀预期是美联储的关注焦点
