市场分析：欧洲央行利率可能需要降至中性以下
2025-02-12 06:10:54
PGIM Fixed Income在一份报告中称，如果欧洲央行一再预测的经济加速增长未能实现，其基准利率可能需要降至中性以下。该行预计，欧洲央行的中性利率区间将在1.5%-2.5%之间，略低于现在2.75%的存款利率，到今年年底，市场定价为1.91%。报告称，鉴于宏观经济形势疲弱，欧洲经济更容易受到贸易紧张局势加剧的影响。尽管如此，欧洲比上一轮关税实施时准备得更好，在谈判或回报方面具有重要的影响力。(金十)
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