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美联储官员Goolsbee:切勿忽视关税推高通胀的风险

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2025-02-05 21:55:28
芝加哥联邦储备银行行长Austan Goolsbee表示,持续、大规模的加征关税可能会再次造成供应链扰动,并推高通胀。Goolsbee在为底特律举行的活动准备的讲稿中警告,不要假设关税不会引发通胀。他列出了从疫情中汲取的几个教训,其中包括供应链在内的供给侧扰动是通胀最重要的驱动因素,并导致新冠疫情冲击期间和之后的经济过热。“如果我们看到通胀在2025年上升或进展停滞,那么美联储将处于艰难的境地,试图弄清楚通胀的源头是经济过热还是关税,”Goolsbee说,“这种区别对于决定美联储何时甚至是否应该采取行动至关重要。”
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