According to Polymarket data, the yes probability on the platform on whether Trump will create a bitcoin reserve within 100 days of his inauguration has skyrocketed to 58%, compared to only 43% in the same period yesterday.
In addition, the market expects a 42% probability that Trump will sign more than 40 executive orders on the first day of his inauguration; Kalshi implied that the market expects Trump to sign 40.4 executive orders on the first day of his inauguration. Among them, immigration, tariffs, diplomacy, and energy are expected to be the first areas of intensive policy on Trump's inauguration day.
In addition, the market generally expects that Trump's presidential executive powers will be greatly strengthened in his second term. According to Kalshi, the market expects Trump to declare a national emergency within the 100-day New Deal with a 77% probability.
Polymarket expects a 58% probability that Trump will create a bitcoin reserve within 100 days of his inauguration
2025-01-20 10:03:26
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