Kalshi predicts that users on the market now believe there is a 79% chance that Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht will be pardoned by President-elect Donald Trump within 100 days of taking office.
Ulbricht created Silk Road, a dark web marketplace for contraband and services, in 2011 under the alias "Dread Pirate Roberts." After a two-year investigation into the online black market, US law enforcement officials arrested Ulbricht in October 2013, shut it down and seized about 174,000 bitcoins.
Kalshi predicts that the chances of the Silk Road founder being pardoned by Trump will rise to 79%.
2025-01-19 22:36:58
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