Fed meeting notes unemployment is expected to rise slightly

The Fed's December meeting notes that staff forecasts that economic conditions in the United States will remain solid. Real GDP growth is expected to slow slightly from the previous baseline forecast, and the unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly, but still close to the staff's estimate of the natural rate of unemployment. In the staff's baseline forecast, the inflation forecast for 2024 is slightly higher than the forecast made at the last meeting, reflecting an unexpected upside from some recent data. Inflation is expected to fall to 2% by 2027, in line with the forecast from the November meeting.