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投资经理:发达国家的货币政策限制性仍过强

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2024-12-18 11:39:06
木星资产管理债券基金投资经理 Ariel Bezalel 和 Harry Richards 表示,发达国家的货币政策过于严格,尤其是目前剔除通胀影响的实际利率水平。货币政策在达到中性利率水平之前仍有一段路要走。市场预期反映了这一点,市场已经消化了未来两年回归中性水平的预期。
然而,市场并未消化经济增长更严重放缓甚至出现衰退的风险。这可能迫使央行将利率降至超过中性水平。(金十)
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