机构:美国就业市场展现韧性,12月降息预期或重新定价
2024-12-06 15:56:17
Investors Edge市场和研究主管John Choong表示,在11月份的非农就业报告发布后,市场预测美联储本月降息的可能性超过90%,这已经超出了市场预期。交易员似乎关注的是美国就业市场虽然没有降温,但也没有升温的迹象。但Choong对数据的解读不同。他认为,11月份的非农就业数据显示,上个月的疲软只是飓风造成的暂时现象,美国劳动力市场具有弹性。美联储需要小心地“穿针引线”,因为如果通胀仍然居高不下,他们不能过早降息。他预计降息预期将被重新定价,“因为今天数据的强劲挑战了12月降息的观点。”
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