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机构:明年年中美联储暂停降息的概率上升

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2024-12-01 01:27:32
民生证券表示,明年年中美联储暂停降息的概率上升。失业率维持低位,加之通胀下行受阻,明年美联储可能还有降息 2 至 3 次,下半年或暂停降息。小概率情形下,关税和移民政策力度过猛可能会导致美股下跌、美国经济显著下滑,那么明年可能有更多降息。(金十)
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