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Musk: Forecast market "SpaceX Super Heavy rocket successful recovery probability of 78%" is in line with expectations

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2024-11-18 15:43:01
The probability that tomorrow's "chopsticks" robotic arm will successfully recover SpaceX's Super Heavy rocket has risen to 78 per cent, according to data released by prediction market Polymarket.
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk responded by saying the prediction was roughly in line with his estimates. He said that as technology advances, the success rate will eventually approach 100%, but it is still in the early stages.
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