富达国际:市场对美联储最终利率的预期可能过低
2024-11-07 21:16:49
富达国际宏观及策略资产配置全球主管Salman Ahmed表示,考虑到明年财政刺激政策的通货再膨胀空间,美联储的终端利率可能会在高于定价的水平触底。事实上,如果通货再膨胀的冲击和关税政策驱动的通胀卷土重来,加息可能不得不提上日程。美联储一如预期地降息25个基点,并调整措辞,对未来的货币政策路径更加谨慎。即使是在12月份,由于鲍威尔放弃了对降息速度和规模的任何指导,数据约束性也上升了一个档次。
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